The GINI study

German study from 1998.

Some potential benefit from using hydrolyzed formula in terms of preventing allergy.  The relative risk for the cumulative incidence of any allergic disease in the intention-to-treat analysis (n = 2252) was:

  • 0.87 (95% CI, 0.77-0.99) for partially hydrolysed whey-based formula (pHF-W),
  • 0.94 (95% CI, 0.83-1.07) for extensively hydrolysed whey-based formula (eHF-W) eg Pepti, and
  • 0.83 (95% CI, 0.72-0.95) for extensively hydrolysed casein-based formula (eHF-C) eg Nutramigen compared with standard cow’s milk formula.

The corresponding figures for atopic eczema/dermatits (AD) were 0.82 (95% CI, 0.68-1.00), 0.91 (95% CI, 0.76-1.10), and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.58-0.88), respectively.

In the per-protocol analysis (ie where patients stuck to protocol) effects were stronger (0.49 for eczema at 1yr). The period prevalence of AD at 7 to 10 years was significantly reduced with eHF-C in this analysis, but there was no preventive effect on asthma or allergic rhinitis.

[J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2013 Jun;131(6):1565-73. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2013.01.006. ]

Cochrane review 2009 biased towards GINI data.  Since then big Melbourne study (MACS) not in favour; per protocol analysis for eczema at age 1 yr did not show any benefit (0.55-1.93).

Even with GINI, NNT could be as high as 80!

[http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pai.12138/full]

15 yr follow up of GINI study – between 11 and 15 years,

  • prevalence of asthma was reduced in the eHF‐C group compared to CMF (OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.26–0.89)
  • cumulative incidence of atopic rhinitis was lower in eHF‐C (risk ratio (RR) 0.77, 95% CI 0.59–0.99]) and the AR prevalence lower in pHF‐W (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.47–0.95) and eHF‐C (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.41–0.84).
  • cumulative incidence of eczema was reduced in pHF‐W (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59–0.96) and eHF‐C (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.46–0.77), as was the eczema prevalence between 11 and 15 years in eHF‐C (OR 0.42, 95% CI0.23–0.79).
  • No significant effects were found in the eHF‐W group on any manifestation,nor was there an effect on sensitization with any formula.

[Allergy 2016; 71: 210–219. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/all.12790/abstract]